Friedman: Hamas, Netanyahu and Mother Nature

Hamas supporters stage a protest against the possible U.S. decision to recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital, in Jebaliya Refugee Camp, Gaza Strip, Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2017. President Donald Trump is forging ahead with plans to recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital despite intense Arab, Muslim and European opposition to a move that would upend decades of U.S. policy and risk potentially violent protests. (AP Photo/Adel Hana)
Hamas supporters stage a protest against the possible U.S. decision to recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital, in Jebaliya Refugee Camp, Gaza Strip, Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2017. President Donald Trump is forging ahead with plans to recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital despite intense Arab, Muslim and European opposition to a move that would upend decades of U.S. policy and risk potentially violent protests. (AP Photo/Adel Hana)

Princess Diana once famously observed that there were three people in her marriage, "so it was a bit crowded." The same is true of Israelis and Palestinians. The third person in their marriage is Mother Nature - and she'll batter both of them if they do not come to their senses.

Let's start with Hamas, the Palestinian Islamist organization that rules the Gaza Strip. If there were an anti-Nobel Peace Prize - that is, the Nobel Prize for Cynicism and Reckless Disregard for One's Own People in Pursuit of a Political Fantasy - it would surely be conferred on Hamas, which just facilitated the tragic and wasted deaths of roughly 60 Gazans by encouraging their march, some with arms, on the Israeli border fence in pursuit of a "return" to their ancestral homes in what is now Israel.

While the march idea emerged from Palestinian society in Gaza, Hamas seized on it to disguise its utter failure to produce any kind of decent life for the Palestinians there, whom Hamas has ruled since 2007.

You hear people say: "What choice did they have? They're desperate." Well, I'll give you a choice - one that almost certainly would lead to an improved life for Gazans, one that I first proposed in 2011.

What if all 2 million Palestinians of Gaza marched to the Israeli border fence with an olive branch in one hand and a sign in Hebrew and Arabic in the other, saying, "Two states for two peoples: We, the Palestinian people of Gaza, want to sign a peace treaty with the Jewish people - a two-state solution based on the 1967 borders, with mutually agreed adjustments."

That would have stimulated a huge debate within Israel and worldwide pressure. That kind of Palestinian movement would make Israelis feel strategically secure but morally insecure, which is the key to moving the Israeli silent majority.

Hamas chose instead to make Israelis feel strategically insecure and therefore morally secure in killing scores of Hamas followers who tried to breach the border fence.

OK. So much for the "bad" Palestinian leadership. What's Israel's approach to the secular, more moderate Palestinian Authority in the West Bank, whose security forces have cooperated with Israel for years to vastly reduce violence coming from the occupied territories? Answer: nothing.

Actually, worse than nothing, because Bibi Netanyahu's government has steadily implanted more settlers deep inside Palestinian-populated areas of the West Bank - now 100,000 - beyond the settlement blocs that Israel might keep in any two-state peace deal.

This is where that third person in the marriage comes in: Mother Nature - i.e., demographics and ecosystem destruction. She doesn't recognize lines on maps, either.

In March Reuters reported from Jerusalem: "The number of Jews and Arabs between the Mediterranean Sea and Jordan River is at or near parity, figures cited by Israeli officials show, raising questions whether Israel can remain a democracy if it keeps territory where Palestinians seek a state."

And then there's this: Repeated Hamas rocket attacks that led to an Israeli blockade of building supplies, electricity shortages due to intra-Palestinian feuding, and Hamas' regular use of building materials to dig tunnels to penetrate Israel have led to a critical shortage of infrastructure in Gaza, particularly sewage treatment plants. So Gazans now dump about 100 million liters of raw sewage into the Mediterranean daily, explained Gidon Bromberg, the Israeli director of EcoPeace Middle East, which promotes peace through environmental collaboration.

Because of the prevailing current, most of that sewage flows northward to the Israeli beach town of Ashkelon, the site of Israel's second-biggest desalination plant. Eighty percent of Israel's drinking water comes from desalination, with 15 percent of the nation's drinking water coming from the Ashkelon plant.

In a few years, the next protest from Gaza will not be organized by Hamas, but by mothers because typhoid and cholera will have spread through the fetid water and Gazans will all have had to stop drinking it.

Bottom line: Israel has never been stronger than it is today. Hamas has never been weaker. If there were ever a time for Israel to take a few calculated risks to try to nurture a different pathway with Palestinians in the West Bank, it's now. Unfortunately, its prime minister is too cowardly, and the United States is too slavishly supportive, for that to happen. Over to you, Mother Nature.

The New York Times

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